Brexit is a term we have all become well accustomed to. The fact of the matter, though, is that Brexit is an enigma.
The only area which is totally transparent to the public is that the current prime minister and her government have been unable to negotiate their own issues, resulting in … well … not much, other than major reshuffling in Parliament.
Squabbling amongst themselves by the people constituting the government has taken up as much energy as it would to put their heads together and resolve cross-government issues and focus on getting a softer Brexit, as opposed to a hard Brexit or “no deal.” As yet, we’ve seen much talk about a successful Brexit and not much action. A parliamentary majority is something Theresa May does not hold – this would cause a crisis at the best of times. In fact, the government seems to be on the warpath as Tory ministers such as Phillip Lee have resigned and publicly backlashed against the prime minister.
Much of the confusion stems from last year’s general election. This did nothing for the country, particularly the United Kingdom’s stance within the European Union, and actually just stalled negotiations. One of the main concerns with Brexit is that Theresa May is steering the ship with the aim of reaching a Brexit deal, yet there is still no map to follow. There is limited information on what the initial plan, execution and outcome of Brexit is expected or even suspected to achieve.
The lack of transparent communication between the government, media and public and the resultant disjointed and conflicting information feel like an echo of what the future may hold for a 2019 deal. Major businesses such as Siemens, John Lewis and Airbus have all recently issued warnings to the government that leading UK companies are tiring of the frustrations that could be caused by an unclear Brexit.
Now, there are a few things that we do know. We know that there will be a transitional period between 29 March and 31 December 2019 to allow businesses to prepare for a post-Brexit future. Free movement shall continue throughout this period. New trade deals can be signed by the UK; however, they will not be activated until the transitional period is over on 1st January 2021.
Ultimately, Brexit relies heavily on the current negotiations. The government has not revealed its definite application to the EU, and current agreements have not yet been made public knowledge. It has been hoped that the future of trade, travel and security shall be outlined within the next six months, according to Theresa May’s speech on 2 March 2018 that set out a long-term plan.
Theresa May has made clear, much to the dismay of many of her own and opposing party opinions, that the United Kingdom will have reduced access to the European single market. For an outsider looking in, Brexit does not have a positive perspective for the country. There is, of course, hope that the government has an unpublished plan that can result in a beneficial Brexit – but at this stage, there is no evidence to support this.
Global Seven News